Thursday 18 December 2014

Leaders Parliament: 2014 in Review


Ukrainians expressing support for siding with the EU

Every two weeks, together with Die WELT Group, we ask 500 German CEOs for their opinion on emerging topics that move the economy and society.  In the retrospect, the year 2014 was marked by crises and wars in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan, and Ukraine. Back in February two-thirds of Germany's top managers called for financial support for Kiev, to ensure stability in the country and in Europe. After the horrible crash of flight MH17, two-thirds of our managers voted for tougher sanctions against Russia and already assumed that the conflict will continue. Most of them were expecting sanctions of one to two years duration. Sanctions have already had an adverse effect on the Russian economy - the ruble crashed to a historic low, and the Russian central bank needed to intervene with over USD 1.5 billion to stop further deterioration.
Our Leaders Parliament showed good intuition for trends and their impact, also on other issues:

Protection of data privacy in Europa - Help is on the way in the digital jungle:
Thus, the overwhelming majority of our members advocated the creation of new European standards for data protection that will make it harder for countries outside the European Union to spy on data streams on the continent. More than 84% believe that more stringent privacy protection is needed in Europe. Online security must not remain a matter of trust. First drafts of a Schengen routing have already been organized by Deutsche Telekom.

Agenda 2025 for Germany:
Growth prospects and optimism seem to be unbroken in Germany. Despite all the crises, for our Leaders Parliament members, Germany's economy had been steadfast. In August 57% were of the opinion that the recovery had already developed enough momentum to cope with minor setbacks. Some critics urged to take advantage of the current favorable situation to lay the foundation for future growth. We have to define goals and measures, back up public finance, modernize tax and welfare systems and expand education and infrastructure.  Over 95% of our members felt the same. Bad debts must be reduced and the economy must be positioned for new challenges, such as the Digital Economy. For nearly 50% of respondents, this is a challenge for policymakers, as it was with the agenda of 2010.
Celebrations after winning the World Cup in Brazil
54, 74, 90 ... 2014:
Although the German national football team earned their fourth star in Brazil, our top managers were initially less euphoric at the impact of the FIFA World Cup on the German economy. Nearly two-thirds of our respondents said that the impact of the World Cup is overestimated on consumers and the economy - and they thus showed remarkable sense. A short time later, leading economic research institutes lowered their growth forecast for 2014 significantly. However, Germany took the title as the most popular country in the world and is now, according to a GfK survey, the country with the best image worldwide. This topnotch image is not only based on our political leadership role in Europe or on our strong economy; it is also a result of our athletic, creative and excellent performance in Brazil.

Wishing you a merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year.

Best,
TO

Image credit:  wikimedia.org

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